George Friedman Quotes - Page 2

• If you lose yourself to rage in the complexity of battle, you are going to be lost.

  George Friedman

  Battle, Rage, Losing Yourself

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• The first thing you have to do is understand what success looks like. And to understand what success looks like you have to understand the intent. If you understand that intent is to make sure the sea lines are secure, then suddenly bombing Kosovo makes sense, because you don't want Serbia to reemerge as a major power.

  George Friedman

  Sea, Lines, Want

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Success looks like you sitting here pretty confident that an armed brigade isn't going to come pouring in here and blow your head off. Which I don't think is your major concern. Therefore, the United States' foreign policy is successful.

  George Friedman

  Successful, Blow, Thinking

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• There is a radical and unprecedented shift [in war] that is part of the general transformation of civilization. First, understand that the past 150 years of warfare are totally unprecedented in that we introduced a breathtakingly inefficient technology: guns. In the First World War, and this is not an exaggeration, it took 10,000 rounds of ammunition to kill one person. Any given shot had a one in 10,000 probability of ending someone's life.

  George Friedman

  War, Technology, Gun

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Germany is the new pig. Germany depends on exports and its markets are drying up. When the Germans start getting 10% unemployment, 15% unemployment, which is the real variable, how are they going to handle it?

  George Friedman

  Real, Pigs, Unemployment

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Because the US has control of the sea. Because the US has built up its wealth. Because the US is the only country in the world really not to have a war fought on its territory since the time of the Civil War ... Therefore we can afford mistakes that would kill other countries. And therefore we can take risks that they can't ... the core answer to why the United States is like this is we didn't fight World War I and World War II and the Cold War here.

  George Friedman

  País, Guerra, Error

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• The most horrible sort of war is civil war.

  George Friedman

  War, Civil War, Horrible

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• We cannot anticipate the moral circumstances under which we will live. And therefore [I refuse] to say that I will not live in a moral circumstance that requires violence.

  George Friedman

  Violence, Moral, Circumstances

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• I think there are worse things than war. For example, injustice.

  George Friedman

  War, Thinking, Example

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• War to me is very much like sex. You can develop a theory that says sex is primarily for the exchange of genetic material, or that it's a celebration of life, or you can make up 50,000 theories about why human beings have sex, all of which are in some sense true, all of which by themselves miss the point. Because the answer is extraordinarily complex. It may be for fun, it may be for reproduction, for financial reasons, any number of things.

  George Friedman

  Sex, Fun, War

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• One definition of the wicked is that they will resort to whatever means are necessary to achieve their ends. Therefore, if those who oppose wickedness don't learn the art of war, they will be helpless.

  George Friedman

  Arte, Guerra, Media

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• The important thing in war is that there is an element of rage, but you must remain very distant from it.

  George Friedman

  War, Important, Elements

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Europeans have always thought of U.S. presidents as either naive, as they did with Jimmy Carter, or as cowboys, as they did with Lyndon Johnson, and held them in contempt in either case.

  George Friedman

  Cowboy, President, Cases

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• Politicians are enormously smart and rational. They don't have the same interests as businessmen ... But a man rises to the top of the United States. He's clawed his way out of 330 million people. OK. He didn't do that because he was dumb, or lucky, or something like that. He understands power. And he understands how to take it. And he understands how to keep it.

  George Friedman

  Smart, Men, People

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• While certain coastal cities have become very prosperous, the rest of China has a per capita income of $200 a year. The coast wants to have nothing to do with the interior; it wants to work with Tokyo and New York. This is an old story in China. It is why Mao succeeded in 1927. He wanted [coastal] Shanghai to throw the foreigners out, but Shanghai was doing too well financially [to expel foreigners]. So Mao went to the interior and raised a peasant army. He came back to Shanghai and sealed off the country.

  George Friedman

  Country, New York, Army

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• So as soon as you want something to happen you begin skewing the data to support it. Our stuff is invaluable to decision-makers precisely because we have no ax to grind.

  George Friedman

  Data, Want Something, Support

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Assad's mother was a terror. He was terrified of her and she kept saying to him, you're not like your father. That's interesting, but it's useless information. It doesn't tell me anything about how the first and second armored brigades are going to operate.

  George Friedman

  Mother, Father, Interesting

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Every theory I've seen that contains an explanation of war fails. I think they fail for the same reason that explanations of sex fail. War derives from things so deep and so complex, I'm thoroughly baffled by it at the end of the day.

  George Friedman

  Sexo, Guerra, Pensamiento

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• La guerra es una condición extraordinaria en la que estar, por ejemplo, en el centro de información de combate de un buque de guerra [y comportarse] como si simplemente estuvieras procesando solicitudes de tarjetas de crédito. [En lugar de eso, la información que estás procesando es que un misil entrante está a 15 kilómetros, ahora a 10 kilómetros, ahora a 5 kilómetros. Tienes que separarte psicológicamente del hecho de que tu existencia mortal puede llegar a su fin. Esa es la antigua realidad de la guerra.

  George Friedman

  War, Reality, Cards

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Constraint theory asks: What is the price for doing this? Now one way around constraint theory is declaring your enemy crazy. Crazy and stupid are not concepts used in forecasting. When people say they're really stupid or they're crazy, that's laziness. That means I don't want to think through their position or about what they're really going to do.

  George Friedman

  Stupid, Crazy, Mean

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• The poets think about war more than the social scientists.

  George Friedman

  War, Thinking, Scientist

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• I think the personal and psychological aspects of war remain the same. War is about killing and dying. A man or woman stands at the post and there is a very real possibility of dying in the next five minutes. Whether he dies or not depends partly on him and partly on luck, and yet he must continue to function.

  George Friedman

  Real, Guerra, Hombres

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• So you go to Brookings, or you go to Heritage or others, they know their position on any subject before they research it. If you go to an investment bank, they know what parts of the world they are going to cover and what parts of the world they are not going to cover depending on client interest. We cover the world without being skewed by that. And that makes it more valuable.

  George Friedman

  Heritage, Research, World

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• When you have the countries like Germany, China, and Russia decline, and be replaced by others, that's when systemic wars start. That's when it gets dangerous, because they haven't yet reached a balance. So Germany united in 1871 and all hell broke loose. Japan rose in the early 20th century, and then you had chaos. So we're looking at a systemic shift. Be ready for war.

  George Friedman

  Country, War, Japan

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Las personas exaltadas pueden cometer imprudencias. Es en los momentos extremos y cargados de emoción cuando más se necesitan la distancia y la frialdad. Tengo la tentación de aullar de rabia. No me corresponde hacerlo. Mi trabajo consiste en tratar de diseccionar el suceso, situarlo en su contexto y tratar de entender qué ha pasado y por qué. A partir de ahí, una vez que la rabia se enfríe, se pueden elaborar planes de acción. La rabia tiene su lugar, pero hay que actuar con disciplina y reflexión.

  George Friedman

  Jobs, Distance, Taken

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