George Friedman frases

• Wars are times of intense technological transformation, because societies invest - sometimes with extensive borrowing - when and where matters of life and death are at stake.

  George Friedman

  War, Life And Death, Matter

  George Friedman (2011). “The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going”, p.225, Anchor

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• Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world.

  George Friedman

  Powerful, Clouds, Views

  George Friedman (2009). “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century”, p.3, Anchor

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• What is the great fear of the United States? That an Eastern power will build a navy to challenge us. How do you keep them from doing that? Keep them at each other's throats so they don't have any money to do this. This is why we fought the First World War, the Second World War, and the Cold War.

  George Friedman

  War, Challenges, Navy

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• In a way, we can have a much easier discussion about the future of technology than we can about why a young man kills another man in a war.

  George Friedman

  War, Technology, Men

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Italy spills over to everything. Italy is a huge banking system. It has been the major banking system in Eastern Europe. It's worked with Austria's banking system. There's all sorts of interplays there. So it's not the PIIGS one should worry about. Germany hasn't even begun falling yet. And when Germany falls, and it will, that's when the panic begins to set in.

  George Friedman

  Fall, Europe, Worry

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• What is American strategy first of all? So American strategy is to command the seas, right? The foundation of our power is sea control. Nobody can invade us, but we can invade them.

  George Friedman

  Sea, Firsts, Foundation

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• One of the great famines in human history took place during the Chinese Cultural Revolution. [At the same time] Western journalists were reporting how marvelously Chinese society was working. We know so little [about what happens in China].

  George Friedman

  Chinese, Littles, Revolution

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• When I went to war, I did not go making geopolitical calculations. I went to war with a lust.

  George Friedman

  War, Lust, Geopolitical

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Anger does not make history. Power does. And power may be supplemented by anger, but it derives from more fundamental realities; geography, demographics, technology, and culture.

  George Friedman

  Technology, Reality, Doe

  George Friedman (2009). “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century”, p.49, Anchor

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• But every time new powers emerge they have to find their balance. New powers are emerging, old powers are declining. It's not that process that's dangerous, it's the emerging position that's dangerous.

  George Friedman

  Balance, Process, Dangerous

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• En el siglo XX, la guerra dejó de ser un encuentro entre dos ejércitos. Se convirtió en un encuentro entre dos sociedades, porque un obrero que produce un arma o una bomba es tan mortífero como un piloto.

  George Friedman

  Guerra, Ejército, Arma

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Cuando eres joven y vas a la guerra, es un momento realmente emocionante. Vas a arriesgarte. En el campo de batalla, de repente eres libre. Te das cuenta: Estoy aquí, estoy en esto. Exaltación. De repente te asalta otro sentimiento extraordinario: Dios mío, me pueden matar. Y: ¿me pondré en ridículo? Es como si estuvieras en un caleidoscopio y todas estas sensaciones extraordinarias pasaran de un lado a otro.

  George Friedman

  War, Feelings, Risk

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• The Chinese have a long history of slaughtering each other without bothering their neighbors.

  George Friedman

  Long, Chinese, Neighbor

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Well what are our geopolitical objectives? First, that North America be peaceful, prosperous, dominated by the United States. Second, that no nation be able to approach the United States militarily ... Those are the goals. It's very simple. We achieve that by making certain that all conflict takes place in the Eastern Hemisphere so we don't have conflict here.

  George Friedman

  Simple, America, Goal

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Idealism is frequently another word for self-righteousness, a disease that can only be corrected by a profound understanding power in its complete sense.

  George Friedman

  Self, Profound, Understanding

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• The warrior must continue to make decisions in the face of extreme circumstances. He cannot afford to get angry or frightened.

  George Friedman

  Warrior, Decision, Faces

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• Nunca ha habido un siglo que no haya tenido una guerra sistémica - una guerra sistémica, significa cuando todo el sistema convulsiona. Desde la Guerra de los Siete Años en Europa hasta las Guerras Napoleónicas del siglo XIX y las Guerras Mundiales, todos los siglos tienen una.

  George Friedman

  Guerra, Años, Europa

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• The man who hates war more than he hates the Nazis is a wicked man.

  George Friedman

  Guerra, Odio, Hombres

  Source: www.psychologytoday.com

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• The tragedy of the human condition is that the thing that makes us most human - community - originates in the inhumanity of war.

  George Friedman

  War, Community, Tragedy

  George Friedman (2011). “The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going”, p.220, Anchor

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• The United State has a net worth against which our debt is a joke ... we wrote in 2008 the United States is going to come out of this recession fast. The Europeans are going to fragment. The Chinese are going to be cremated. Why could we come out of it? Why has all economic theory been proven wrong? Because we're rich and we could afford it.

  George Friedman

  Chinese, Debt, United States

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• It has always struck me as the world's great fortune that the two great superpowers were the United States and the Soviet Union, who managed the Cold War with meticulous care in retrospect. Imagine the European diplomats of 1914 or 1938 armed with nuclear weapons. It is easy to believe they would not have been as cautious.

  George Friedman

  Guerra, Creer, Dos

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• Italy is the fourth-largest economy in Europe and the eighth-largest economy in the world, and its banking system is collapsing. And Germany is desperate. It must maintain its standard of living. It can only do that with exports and Deutsche Bank is very exposed to Italian debt. But so is the rest of Europe.

  George Friedman

  Italian, Europe, Germany

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Now if you can recognize and memorize a grandmaster's game, and you have the respect to understand [Zimbabwean president Robert] Mugabe who has survived past anyone's expectations, and make the simple assumption it wasn't an accident, and you understand why he did what he did, now you're ready to predict ... The key to forecasting is to understand both the constraints nations are under and the manner in which the struggle for power shapes leaders.

  George Friedman

  Struggle, Simple, Past

  Source: www.businessinsider.com

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• Strategy is something that emerges from reality, while tactics might be chosen.

  George Friedman

  Reality, Tactics, Might

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• A century is about events. A decade is about people.

  George Friedman

  People, Events, Century

  George Friedman (2011). “The Next Decade: Where We've Been . . . and Where We're Going”, p.1, Anchor

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