James Surowiecki Citas

• Paradoxically, the best way for a group to be smart is for each person in it to think and act as independently as possible.

  James Surowiecki

  Smart, Thinking, Way

  "Digital Transformation - Part II: Collective Intelligence Is the Game Changer" by Rod Collins, www.huffingtonpost.com. August 4, 2017.

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• Lack of confidence, sometimes alternating with unrealistic dreams of heroic success, often leads to procrastination, and many studies suggest that procrastinators are self-handicappers: rather than risk failure, they prefer to create conditions that make success impossible, a reflex that of course creates a vicious cycle.

  James Surowiecki

  Dream, Procrastination, Self

  "Later" by James Surowiecki, www.newyorker.com. October 11, 2010.

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• Diversity and independence are important because the best collective decisions are the product of disagreement and contest, not consensus or compromise.

  James Surowiecki

  Diversity, Decision, Independence

  James Surowiecki (2005). “The Wisdom of Crowds”, p.19, Anchor

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• For a crowd to be smart, the people in it need to be not only diverse in their perspectives but also, relatively speaking, independent of each other. In other words, you need people to be thinking for themselves, rather than following the lead of those around them.

  James Surowiecki

  Inteligente, Independiente, Pensamiento

  "The Wise Way to Crowdsource a Manhunt". www.newyorker.com. April 23, 2013.

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• The paradox of Steve Jobs's career is that he had no interest in listening to consumers - he was famously dismissive of market research - yet nonetheless had an amazing sense of what consumers actually wanted.

  James Surowiecki

  Jobs, Careers, Listening

  "Apple: What Happens Now?". www.newyorker.com. August 24, 2011.

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• La reparación de automóviles, el pilotaje, el esquí o incluso la gestión: son habilidades que ceden ante la aplicación, el trabajo duro y el talento innato. Pero prever un futuro incierto y decidir el mejor curso de acción ante ese futuro tienen muchas menos probabilidades de hacerlo. Y mucho de lo que hemos visto hasta ahora sugiere que un gran grupo de individuos diversos elaborará previsiones mejores y más sólidas y tomará decisiones más inteligentes que incluso el "decisor" más hábil.

  James Surowiecki

  Hard Work, Intelligent, Skills

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• En condiciones de incertidumbre, los humanos, como otros animales, se agrupan para protegerse.

  James Surowiecki

  Animal, Together, Protection

  "That Uncertain Feeling" by James Surowiecki, www.newyorker.com. September 1, 2008.

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• The smartest groups, then, are made up of people with diverse perspectives who are able to stay independent of each other.

  James Surowiecki

  Independent, Perspective, People

  James Surowiecki (2005). “The Wisdom of Crowds”, p.41, Anchor

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• El hecho de que la diversidad cognitiva sea importante no significa que si reúne a un grupo de personas diversas pero totalmente desinformadas, su sabiduría colectiva será más inteligente que la de un experto. Pero si puede reunir un grupo diverso de personas que posean distintos grados de conocimiento y perspicacia, será mejor confiarle las decisiones importantes en lugar de dejarlas en manos de una o dos personas, por muy inteligentes que sean.

  James Surowiecki

  Wisdom, Smart, Mean

  James Surowiecki (2005). “The Wisdom of Crowds”, p.31, Anchor

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• Lo importante del pensamiento de grupo es que funciona no tanto censurando la disidencia como haciendo que ésta parezca de algún modo improbable.

  James Surowiecki

  Important, Groupthink, Dissent

  James Surowiecki (2005). “The Wisdom of Crowds”, p.37, Anchor

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• In the business world, bad news is usually good news - for somebody else.

  James Surowiecki

  News, World, Good News And Bad News

  "Don't Do the Math". www.newyorker.com. January 24, 2005.

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• Until the nineteen-seventies, Western countries paid little attention to corruption overseas, and bribery was seen as an unpleasant but necessary part of doing business there. In some European countries, businesses were even allowed to deduct bribes as an expense.

  James Surowiecki

  Country, Nineteen, Attention

  "Invisible Hand, Greased Palm" by James Surowiecki, www.newyorker.com. May 14, 2012.

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• Bubbles and crashes are textbook examples of collective decision making gone wrong. In a bubble, all of the conditions that make groups intelligent - independence, diversity, private judgement-disappear.

  James Surowiecki

  Intelligent, Diversity, Decision

  8 Copiar cita

• Creo que la procrastinación evolucionó en los humanos por buenas razones. Si tratas de sobrevivir como ser humano en la sabana hace 20.000 años, preocuparte por lo que hay detrás de ese arbusto es mucho más importante que preocuparte por lo que pueda pasar dentro de tres semanas.

  James Surowiecki

  Procrastinación, Pensamiento, Años

  "Ask the Author Live: James Surowiecki on Procrastination". Live chat, www.newyorker.com. October 1, 2010.

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• Breaking tasks down into smaller sub-tasks can be very useful.

  James Surowiecki

  Tareas

  "Ask the Author Live: James Surowiecki on Procrastination". Live chat, www.newyorker.com. October 1, 2010.

  8 Copiar cita

• Self-dealing, essentially, occurs when managers run companies to line their own pockets instead of those of the companies' owners. It's been a perennial problem in American capitalism and became a real dilemma when America moved toward a model in which corporations would be run by professional managers who had only small ownership stakes.

  James Surowiecki

  Correr, Real, Ser

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• Older people do a better job of managing their impulses, and so they're better able to put off putting off.

  James Surowiecki

  Jobs, People, Able

  "Ask the Author Live: James Surowiecki on Procrastination". Live chat, www.newyorker.com. October 1, 2010.

  9 Copiar cita

• Diversity and independence are important because the best collective decisions are the product of disagreement and contest, not consensus or compromising. An intelligent group, especially when confronted with cognition problems, does not ask its members to modify their positions in order to let the group reach a decision everyone can be happy with. Instead…the best way for a group to be smart is for each person in it to think and act as independently as possible.

  James Surowiecki

  Smart, Thinking, Intelligent

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• The reason advertising is governed by fear, after all, is that most agencies rely on just a few clients to bring in the lion's share of their revenues.

  James Surowiecki

  Agency, Lions, Clients

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• The challenge for capitalism is that the things that breed trust also breed the environment for fraud.

  James Surowiecki

  Challenges, Environment, American Capitalism

  "The crowd is smarter than you think". Interview with Todd Leopold, www.cnn.com. July 14, 2004.

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• In the heart of the Great Depression, millions of American workers did something they'd never done before: they joined a union. Emboldened by the passage of the Wagner Act, which made collective bargaining easier, unions organized industries across the country, remaking the economy.

  James Surowiecki

  Country, Heart, Done

  "State of the Unions". www.newyorker.com. January 17, 2011.

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• La historia de Internet es, en parte, una serie de oportunidades perdidas: las grandes discográficas dejaron que Apple se hiciera con el negocio de la música digital; Blockbuster se negó a comprar Netflix por apenas cincuenta millones de dólares; Excite rechazó la oportunidad de adquirir Google por menos de un millón de dólares.

  James Surowiecki

  Opportunity, Apples, Google

  "Groupon Clipping". www.newyorker.com. December 20 & 27, 2010.

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• Nike used to be known as Blue Ribbon Sports. What's now Sara Lee used to be Consolidated Foods. And Exxon was once Standard Oil Company of New Jersey. These were name changes that worked. But for all the ones that do, there are 10 or 20 that don't.

  James Surowiecki

  Sports, Nike, Blue

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• A long-term crisis, after a certain point, no longer seems like a crisis. It seems like the way things are.

  James Surowiecki

  Long, Way, Certain

  "No End in Sight". www.newyorker.com. April 30, 2012.

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• Although oil is a commodity, it's still not a commodity like coffee, which, thank God, we will have with us always. At some point the oil will run out.

  James Surowiecki

  Running, Coffee, Oil

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