Nate Silver Quotes

• Distinguir la señal del ruido requiere tanto conocimientos científicos como autoconocimiento: la serenidad para aceptar las cosas que no podemos predecir, el valor para predecir las cosas que sí podemos, y la sabiduría para saber la diferencia.

  Nate Silver

  Self, Differences, Serenity

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.309, Penguin

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• There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

  Nate Silver

  Risk, Marketing

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• La señal es la verdad. El ruido es lo que nos distrae de la verdad.

  Nate Silver

  Marketing, Noise, Signals

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.21, Penguin

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• We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

  Nate Silver

  Real, Mean, Skills

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• Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.

  Nate Silver

  Data, Data Science, Scientist

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• Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise

  Nate Silver

  Keys, Data, Patterns

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• When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Investing, Possibility

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.287, Penguin

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• We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

  Nate Silver

  Marketing, Probability, Comfortable

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.20, Penguin

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• New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

  Nate Silver

  Ideas, Marketing, Details

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.76, Penguin

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• We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

  Nate Silver

  Needs, Problem, Predictions

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.19, Penguin

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• Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.

  Nate Silver

  Odds, Data, Needs

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.17, Penguin

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• Success makes you less intimidated by things.

  Nate Silver

  Marketing, Intimidated

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• One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Risk, Age

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.39, Penguin

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• When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

  Nate Silver

  Funny, Data, Judgment

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• A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.

  Nate Silver

  News, Entertainment

  "NATE SILVER TO JON STEWART: 'People Are Too Hyper About The Polls'" by Grace Wyler, www.businessinsider.com. October 18, 2012.

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• Cada día, tres veces por segundo, producimos el equivalente a la cantidad de datos que la Biblioteca del Congreso tiene en toda su colección impresa, ¿verdad? Pero la mayoría son vídeos de gatos en YouTube o mensajes de texto de niños de trece años sobre la próxima película de Crepúsculo.

  Nate Silver

  Movie, Twilight, Cat

  "Biography/ Personal Quotes". www.imdb.com.

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• La búsqueda de la certeza en la previsión de resultados puede ser enemiga del progreso.

  Nate Silver

  Enemy Of Progress, Quests, Outcomes

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• People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

  Nate Silver

  People, Information, Outlook

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• Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things.

  Nate Silver

  Two, Different, Way

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• On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

  Nate Silver

  Average, Data, Play

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• Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.

  Nate Silver

  Baseball, Games, Economy

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.136, Penguin

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• Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

  Nate Silver

  Self, Marketing, Noise

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.309, Penguin

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• We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning.

  Nate Silver

  Habla

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.17, Penguin

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• By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

  Nate Silver

  Curves, Playing Games, Kind

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• People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.

  Nate Silver

  Light, People, Information

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